Burton Albion take on Stevenage Borough on Friday night

Burton to edge out Boro

Friday April 18, 2008

Burton Albion v Stevenage Borough (19.45, Live on Setanta 1)

Prices correct at time of writing (1pm, Wednesday April 16, 2008).

Home 6/5 Draw 23/10 Away 15/8

This game should be a cracker. It's so tight up there for the play-off places. Aldershot are now the Blue Square Premier champions and Torquay are streaking away clear in second place and then between third and sixth place there is only one point in it. Whoever misses out will miss out by a very unlucky margin. The teams finishing second to fifth go into the end-of-season play-offs.

Looking to this game, Burton are the 6/5 favourites and perform very well on their own patch. The draw is 23/10 while Stevenage often flatter to deceive against the bigger teams in the division, especially away from home and in front of the Setanta cameras. That's why Boro are out to 15/8 for this game. It's a home win for me.

Verdict: Home win